Reserving for goneaways
The issue of goneaways continues to be an area of focus for with-profits funds, with some firms making an allowance for goneaway policies who are not expected to claim from both a reserving and capital perspective. Of the funds that make an adjustment for this in Best Estimate Liabilities, the most common approach is to apply an experience analysis type methodology on expected claims, though making an adjustment based on a range of factors (age, policy type, premium status, maturity date) is also used. Interestingly we noted very few companies making an allowance for goneaway policies in capital calculations, suggesting this is not a material factor in capital management.
How do you measure the materiality of your goneaway policies, both now and how do you expect this to change over time?