Global Top 100 Unicorns

citiskyline
  • October 28, 2024

This publication analyses global Unicorns, including the Top 100 Unicorns, and highlights the changes in the composition of the list, comparing the data as at September 2024 and September 2023. As at September 2024, there were 1,467 Unicorns globally (September 2023: 1,390). Valuations reflect common stock equivalent methodology to derive an implied enterprise value based on the latest external funding round and do not capture any value implications of economic rights of different share classes.

Foreword

After a period of significant macroeconomic headwinds in 2022 and 2023, which led to challenging market conditions and subdued deal activity, throughout 2024 we have started to see increasing macroeconomic stability in Europe and the US, particularly in Q2 and Q3. With inflation in most developed regions demonstrating a sustained trend towards central bank targets, central banks are beginning to loosen monetary policies with a series of interest rate cuts already undertaken in the UK, Europe and the US with markets expecting further cuts to come in Q4-24 and 2025.

Leveraging an improving macroeconomic backdrop, 30% of the Top 100 Unicorns as at 30 Sep-24 have undertaken a form of a funding round during the period, which has led to an increase in valuation. This compares to 12% last year. The increased activity has led to a 10% increase in the value of the Top 100 (2023: 1% decline). Perhaps surprisingly, the three largest valuation increases didn’t come from companies linked to AI, with US based space travel, UK Fintech and US E-commerce Unicorns each recording increases of more than $20bn. Whilst the headline data shows an improving picture compared to last year, the majority of the Top 100 cohort (70%) did not execute a funding round, possibly indicating that valuation aims remain hard to achieve as investors continue to be selective. We also note that where companies have successfully executed a funding round, these may have come with trade-offs, such as earlier stage investor dilution or liquidation event preferences.

IPO exit volumes are still subdued despite IPO markets in Europe and the US showing a level of improvement as we are beginning to see renewed sponsor appetite for IPOs with a number of large private equity-backed IPOs pricing. Investors however remain selective and focused on valuations, requiring appropriate IPO discounts to stimulate positive post-IPO performance and whilst successful Unicorns are able to receive investment from private markets, there is no rush for Unicorns to come to public markets.

Outlook

Whilst we have seen an increase in funding round activity this year, headwinds remain and a significant cohort of the current Top 100 are yet to complete a more recent funding round, making it challenging to understand the underlying valuations of many of the Top 100. As the macroeconomic landscape continues to improve, we expect a further increase in funding round and deal activity over the next 12 months as companies seek further investment to execute strategies and investors look for exit/liquidity events - whether valuations hold up remains the key question. Q4-24 has already started strong with a US AI Unicorn announcing a funding round which valued the business at $157bn (+82%). With positive signs in the UK, European and US IPO markets, we hope to see more Unicorns coming to the public markets over the next 12 months after a sustained period of subdued IPO activity amongst the Unicorns cohort.

“The past 12 months have seen a steady improvement in the macroeconomic environment, which has supported increased funding round activity for the global Top 100 Unicorns. The level of turnover in the Top 100 also increased with 15 new entrants to the list in the period, a number of which play into the AI investment boom. Sentiment towards investment in high growth companies is certainly more encouraging but valuation challenges persist and Unicorns continue to need to demonstrate a more robust business and financial model to underpin target valuations.”

Michael Wisson, Partner, Capital Markets, PwC UK

Highlights

Marked increase in aggregate valuation of the Top 100 Unicorns and number of up rounds completed in the period

  • The aggregate value of the Top 100 Unicorns as at September 2024 stands at $2,054bn, an increase of $187bn (10%), when compared to the same date last year.
  • The valuation to enter the Top 100 Unicorns increased by $0.4bn to $7.7bn in line with the overall increase in the headline valuation of unicorns.
  • 30% of the top 100 unicorns had an increase in valuation, with only 3% recording a decline during the year showing an encouraging trend compared to only 12% of the Top 100 recording a valuation increase last year.

The US extended their dominance as the most prominent region, buoyed by exposure to Tech and AI-themed companies

  • Top 100 Unicorns from the US increased by $200bn (21%), this was driven by a $85bn increase in AI-themed companies, driven both by increased valuations for existing top 100 unicorns and new entrants. Despite a more challenging macroeconomic backdrop, compared to Western markets, China and its regions increased in value by 8% in 2024, aided by the new entry of a semiconductor company valued at $21bn.
  • Top 100 Unicorns from the RoW declined by $45bn (21%), primarily due to an Indonesian global logistics service providers’ IPO, raising $500m, and an Australian web-design company’s valuation falling $14bn following a secondary sale from some early investors.

With the exception of healthcare and consumer, all sectors in the Top 100 increased in valuation, with AI-themed Unicorns leading the way, up 24%

  • The AI themed boom continued in 2024, with five new entrants into the list resulting in a $113bn increase in the aggregate value of AI-themed unicorns. Over the next 12 months, AI-themed unicorns may start to feel some of the valuation pressures which have impacted their listed peers in recent months.
  • After an aggregate fall last year of $71bn, and being in the shadow of the AI boom, Fintech lost its top spot. Despite two drop-outs from the cohort, Fintech did record a $16bn increase this year, largely as a result of a UK-based Fintech achieving a $12bn (36%) increase in value after it was awarded a UK banking license. Interestingly, all of the UK’s top 100 cohort were within the Fintech sector.

“Despite challenging headwinds for fundraising, appetite remains strong for premium assets with a sustainable growth story, particularly those in sectors with strong long-term market tailwinds. Route and timing to exit remain a key challenge for many Unicorns, but there is some positive sentiment starting to come through in 2024.”

Katrina Hallpike, Partner, Valuations, PwC UK

Regional trends

Global

  • The valuation of the Top 100 Unicorns increased by $187bn (10%) compared to a $144bn (7%) fall in valuation in the previous period.
  • The overall regional split of the Top 100 Unicorns saw the US gain further dominance, increasing their number by 6 to 58, with the RoW falling from 14 in 2023 to 9 in 2024. The US was the only region to increase its proportionate share of the value making up the Top 100 Unicorns.
  • In 2024 there was an overall increase of 77 unicorns, which is considerably higher than the 33 in 2023, as high-growth companies begin to benefit from the improving macroeconomic picture.

Source: PitchBook Data, Inc with PwC analysis

US

  • The valuation of US Unicorns in the top 100 increased by 21% to $1,139bn compared to last year. The increase was due to an increase in the number of companies, as well as the average valuation increasing by 13%.
  • AI themed companies, two in particular, were the most significant new entrants to the top 100 in the US, recording valuation increases of 288% and 660% respectively.

China and its regions

  • Despite a challenging macroeconomic backdrop in the region. China added three companies to the Top 100 list and achieved a valuation increase of $41bn.
  • The most noteworthy entry to the top 100 was new unicorn, a Chinese semiconductor company benefitting from the AI boom. It is now ranked 21 following its latest funding round in March 2024 valuing the company at $21bn.

Europe

  • The valuation of European Unicorns in the top 100 showed a small decline, primarily reflecting two Fintech companies dropping out of the list after falls in valuation. However, a UK based Fintech company achieved an impressive valuation gain, increasing by over $12bn (36%).

Rest of the world

  • The number of Unicorns in the Top 100 from the RoW continued to fall, yielding a 31% decline in valuation. This was largely as a result of down rounds combined with exits from the list.

Source: PitchBook Data, Inc with PwC analysis

Movement in the Top 100 unicorns in 2024

Source: PitchBook Data, Inc with PwC analysis

  • The Top 100 Unicorns increased in value this year by $187bn (10%), reversing the declines recorded in 2023 as the macroeconomic picture improved and the surge in AI interest continued. This presented a more attractive backdrop for companies to execute funding rounds.
  • Activity increased in the year with 33 of the Top 100 this year completing a funding round, with only three of those declining in value. The largest decrease in valuation this year was, an Australian web-design company, whose valuation fell 35% to $26bn following a small secondary sale allowing some investors cash out ahead of a potential IPO.
  • $164bn of the increase (88%) was a result of valuation increases from 15 companies which were in the Top 100 last year. US space travel, up $40bn or 31%, recorded the largest increase from this cohort.
  • There were 15 new entrants in the year adding $174bn in value, more than offsetting those that exited the list. The top three entrants were all ai-themed companies achieving a valuation of $19-24bn.
  • Three companies exited the list this year, with two IPOs and one exiting via an acquisition.With regards to post-IPO performance to 30-Sep-24, there have been mixed fortunes in aftermarket performance.

* Data sources: PitchBook Data, Inc with PwC analysis, this includes industry classifications. Data has not been reviewed by PitchBook analysts.

Contact us

Stuart  Newman

Stuart Newman

Global IPO Centre Leader, PwC United Kingdom

Tel: +44 (0)7711 799611

Michael Wisson

Michael Wisson

Partner, PwC United Kingdom

Tel: +44 (0)7817 671094

Kat Kravtsov

Kat Kravtsov

Director, UK Capital Markets, PwC United Kingdom

Tel: +44 (0)7710 036613

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