The UK’s 5,000 corporate defined benefit (DB) pension schemes continue to have sufficient assets on average to ‘buyout’ their pension promises, according to PwC’s Buyout Index, which recorded a surplus of £280bn in August.
Meanwhile, PwC’s Low Reliance Index maintained a record surplus of £410bn. This index assumes schemes invest in low-risk, income-generating assets like bonds, which should mean the pension scheme is unlikely to call on the sponsor for further funding.
In light of these continued surpluses, schemes that would like to secure members’ benefits with an insurance company are continuing to make their preparations for buy-in transactions - so how is the market looking now that we’re into the second half of the year?
John Dunn, head of pensions funding and transformation at PwC UK, said:
“With funding levels staying strong for the UK’s DB schemes, and with the new end-game focused funding regime going live this month, the question of long term goals is rightly at the top of the agenda for trustees and sponsors. While a number of schemes that were targeting an insurance transaction are now re-evaluating their options, for example to consider running the scheme on, many are continuing full steam ahead towards their goal of securing members’ benefits with an insurer. As a result, demand for the insurance market remains extremely high.
“Excess demand leads to increased supply and more competitive pricing - or so the theory goes - and so we’re seeing several new entrants come into the market, some who have already completed their first deals and others who are looking to do so over the coming months.”
Dweenisha Caleechurn, head of bulk annuities at PwC UK, added:
“The first half of the year may have been quieter than expected, but we’re confident that overall, we’re looking at a record number of transactions this year. It is an incredibly busy second half of the year and with the current level of market activity, some schemes targeting transactions in 2024 could now even slip into early 2025. This will depend on capacity and appetite from insurers, which will continue to evolve as we approach the year-end depending on the deals different insurers have won.
"It’s the small schemes which have been really driving the growth in the market over the last few years and it’s those well prepared schemes who are able to navigate insurers’ changing appetites and secure a successful deal despite the heavy demand. The new entrants to the market also want to tap into the small schemes market, at least to start off.”
The PwC Low Reliance Index and PwC Buyout Index figures are as follows:
Low Reliance Index |
Buyout Index |
||||||
£ billions |
Asset value |
Liability value |
Surplus / (Deficit) |
Funding ratio |
Liability value |
Surplus / (Deficit) |
Funding ratio |
August 2024 |
1,470 |
1,060 |
410 |
139% |
1,190 |
280 |
124% |
July 2024 |
1,440 |
1,030 |
410 |
140% |
1,155 |
285 |
125% |
June 2024 |
1,430 |
1,030 |
400 |
139% |
1,170 |
260 |
122% |
May 2024 |
1,440 |
1,040 |
400 |
138% |
1,185 |
255 |
122% |
April 2024 |
1,405 |
1,015 |
390 |
138% |
1,160 |
245 |
121% |
March 2024 |
1,410 |
1,025 |
385 |
138% |
1,170 |
240 |
121% |
February 2024 |
1,390 |
1,000 |
390 |
139% |
1,140 |
250 |
122% |
January 2024 |
1,395 |
1,010 |
385 |
138% |
1,130 |
265 |
123% |
December 2023 |
1,430 |
1,060 |
370 |
135% |
1,200 |
230 |
119% |
November 2023 |
1,420 |
1,040 |
380 |
137% |
1,175 |
245 |
121% |
October 2023 |
1,365 |
990 |
375 |
138% |
1,115 |
250 |
122% |
September 2023 |
1,390 |
1,025 |
365 |
136% |
1,175 |
215 |
118% |
ENDS
Notes to editors:
The PwC Indices measure the aggregate funding position of the UK's defined benefit schemes. The Low Reliance Index uses a discount rate assumption of gilt yields plus 0.5% pa. “Gilts plus” measures are often collectively referred to as funding targets where there is a low level of reliance on the company that ultimately supports the scheme. The Buyout Index reflects PwC’s view of indicative market pricing based on their current experience of completing buy-in and buy-out transactions.
The PwC Indices focus on liability value measures which schemes may be targeting in the long-term. These differ from other liability value measures, for example, those used for the purposes of preparing accounting disclosures or for the calculation of the levy payable to the Pension Protection Fund.
The PwC Indices covers the whole universe of around 5,000 UK defined benefit pension funds. Some other market trackers cover just a minority subset (e.g. fewer than 10% of schemes), so may show different trends.
The estimated asset value for the UK’s defined benefit pension schemes is based on monthly data from the PPF 7800 index, tracked over each month based on the movement in asset indices using data provided by Refinitiv.
PwC experts are available for interview - please contact Kevin Scott on +44 7561 789 014 / kevin.y.scott@pwc.com or Hannah Brook on +44 7483 421 730 / hannah.brook@pwc.com
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